Emmanuel Macron today refused to budge on the crunch issue of post-Brexit fishing rights and insisted he is unwilling to ‘give up my share of the cake’ as Boris Johnson warned a no deal split is now ‘very, very likely’.
The French President stuck to his hardline stance that European trawlers must be able to maintain high levels of access to British waters when the ‘standstill’ transition period ends on December 31.
He told reporters in Brussels: ‘I’m not asking to have my cake and eat it, no. All I want is a cake that’s worth its weight. Because I won’t give up my share of it either.’
His comments came as Mr Johnson delivered his gloomiest assessment yet of the state of trade talks between the UK and the EU.
The Prime Minister said ‘if there is a big offer, a big change’ in what the EU puts forward then a deal could still be struck and that he is ‘hopeful’ of progress being made.
However, he added: ‘But I’ve got to tell that from where I stand now, here in Blyth, it is looking very, very likely that we will have to go for a solution that I think would be wonderful for the UK, and we’d be able to do exactly what we want from January 1 – it obviously would be different from what we’d set out to achieve but I have no doubt this country can get ready and, as I say, come out on World Trade terms.’
Earlier today it emerged that Ursula von der Leyen had told European leaders a no deal Brexit is now more likely than the EU and the UK agreeing a trade accord.
The President of the European Commission gave a 10-minute briefing on the state of the talks to leaders at the end of an all-night European Council summit in Brussels and is said to have told them there is now a ‘higher probability for no deal than deal’.
She later risked British fury as she suggested at a press conference that the UK’s plan to take back control of its waters after Brexit is an ‘aspiration’.
The two sides remain deadlocked on the crunch issues of fishing rights and the so-called ‘level-playing field’.
Oliver Dowden this morning categorically ruled out extending the post-Brexit ‘standstill’ transition period to make more time for talks amid mounting fears the UK and Brussels are heading for a chaotic split on December 31.
The Culture Secretary said ‘a further extension is just kicking the can down the alley’ as he argued ‘you’ve got to end the uncertainty and give people clarity about their future trading relationship’.
He said the Prime Minister is still ‘desperately’ pursuing an accord with Brussels but he insisted if no deal is possible then the UK will ‘survive and indeed thrive over the longer run’ as he conceded the short term is likely to be ‘choppy’.
He also stressed that UK businesses had long been warned that the negotiations could end with no deal as industry leaders piled the pressure on the Government to compromise and strike an agreement.
Nissan has repeatedly said its Sunderland car plant would not be viable in the event of a no deal departure, with a source warning: ‘There is no Plan B.’
Meanwhile, the Bank of England has insisted lenders would be able to deal with the potential twin shocks of a no deal Brexit and the coronavirus crisis.
Separately, Nicola Sturgeon today said she fears Mr Johnson has given up on the trade talks as she warned the chances of a deal being done are now ‘vanishingly small’.
The PM and Ms von der Leyen have set a Sunday deadline for a breakthrough amid growing calls for compromise from European leaders and Tory MPs.
Ireland claimed it would not make sense for the two sides to dig in when ’97 per cent’ of a deal has been agreed.
Meanwhile, some Tory MPs are increasingly concerned about the prospect of a no deal divorce as they told Mr Johnson that ‘every sinew must be stretched to secure’ an agreement.
Ursula von der Leyen, pictured alongside Angela Merkel and Charles Michel, told European leaders at a meeting of the European Council that there is now a ‘higher probability for no deal than deal’
Boris Johnson today warned it is ‘very, very likely’ that the UK and the EU will be unable to strike a post-Brexit trade deal
What are the sticking points in Brexit talks?
The UK has insisted that it will take back control of its coastal waters from the end of the transition period.
But the EU was demanding its fleets maintain previous levels of access – with Emmanuel Macron under particular pressure from the French fishing industry.
Initially the UK said it wanted to reclaim 80 per cent of the EU quotas from January 1.
However, Brussels suggested that only 18 per cent should be restored.
The two sides are thought to be close to a ‘landing zone’ that includes a transition period, perhaps of five or seven years. However, there is no settlement yet.
LEVEL PLAYING FIELD
The EU has insisted the UK commits to ‘level playing field’ provisions, guaranteeing that it will not undercut businesses with lower environmental standards and regulation.
State aid has emerged as a particular issue, especially as coronavirus puts swathes of the economy unviable.
But the UK says it must regain sovereign powers to decide on rules, even though it has no plans to lower standards or warp competition by subsidising the private sector.
It appeared this area was close to resolution last week, before France reportedly laid down a series of extra conditions including huge punishments for breaking the rules.
Although the UK is happy with ‘non-regression’ – meaning current standards are accepted as a baseline – it has dismissed demands to obey rules made by the bloc in future.
The enforcement of any deal, and who decides whether rules are broken, has been one of the flashpoints from the start.
Breaking free of the European Court of Justice was among the biggest demands of Brexiteers from the referendum.
But the EU has been pushing to keep control of the governance, as well as insisting on tough fines and punitive tariffs for breaches.
The situation has been inflamed by the row over the UK’s Internal Market Bill, which gives ministers the power to override the previous Brexit divorce terms to prevent blockages between Britain and Northern Ireland.
Critics say that demonstrated why the enforcement mechanisms must be potent – which is why ministers had considered it important the issue was resolved.
Negotiations between the UK and the EU are ongoing but hopes are fading of a deal being done with the two sides failing to make any progress on the issues of fishing and the ‘level playing field’.
Ms von der Leyen updated European leaders this morning on the state of the trade talks at the end of a marathon European Council summit in Brussels.
She later told a press conference that ‘positions remain apart on fundamental issues’ before risking British fury over fishing.
‘On fisheries, here, also, we continue to have a gap,’ she told reporters.
‘We have not yet found the solutions to bridge our differences.
‘We understand that the UK aspires to control its waters.
‘The UK must, on the other hand, understand the legitimate expectations of EU fishing fleets built on decades, and, sometimes, centuries of access.
‘On these and other points, our negotiators are working.
‘We will decide on Sunday whether we have the conditions for an agreement or not.’
The UK is adamant that after the end of the transition period it will return to being an independent coastal state, with full control over its waters.
The Prime Minister’s spokesman said it is ‘a fact’ that the UK will have full control of its waters from January 1.
A dinner between Mr Johnson and Ms von der Leyen in Brussels on Wednesday evening failed to result in a breakthrough.
The PM said yesterday the ‘deal on the table is really not at the moment right for the UK’ and ‘we’re really not there yet at all’ on fishing rights.
However, he vowed to ‘keep going’ and to ‘go the extra mile’ to try to break the negotiating deadlock as he raised the prospect of a whistle stop tour of EU capitals in the coming days to get a deal over the line.
Mr Johnson said he is willing to ‘go to Brussels, I will go to Paris, I will go to Berlin, I will go to wherever to try and get this home and get a deal’.
But with time running out before the end of the transition period, Mr Johnson said now is the time to ramp up no deal preparations.
‘We’re not stopping talks, we’ll continue to negotiate but looking at where we are I do think it’s vital that everyone now gets ready for that Australian option,’ he said.
The Government has long-described a no deal departure as the UK having an ‘Australia-style’ relationship with the EU because the country has no trade agreement with the bloc.
Malcolm Turnbull, the former prime minister of Australia, last night warned trading with the EU without a formal agreement would mean there are ‘very big barriers’ to exports and there would be ‘a lot of friction in the system in terms of services’.
He told BBC Question Time: ‘So, you know, be careful what you wish for. Australia’s relationship with the EU is not one from a trade point of view that I think Britain would want, frankly.’
In an interview with CNN, Ms Sturgeon questioned whether the PM is still committed to trying to find a deal with the EU.
‘I think the chances of a deal now are almost vanishingly small,’ she said.
‘They’re not non-existent, and I remain hopeful I guess, because no deal would be catastrophic.
‘But I’m starting to worry not just that no deal is now the overwhelming likelihood, but that Boris Johnson is actually now almost planning for that.
‘Exactly a year ago right now, the UK general election took place, and he fought that election to be elected as prime minister, basically saying that his deal with the European Union was off and ready.
‘He later said that no deal would be a failure of statecraft, and it was a million-to-one chance against that happening. Now, today, he’s saying it is very highly probable.
‘It seems to me that all of that is because Boris Johnson is failing to grasp or accept that responsible, independent countries in the modern world have to collaborate and work with others, and at times pool sovereignty for the greater good, for the greater well-being and prosperity of their populations.
‘And, you know, I think he’s about to take the UK down a very, very damaging road, and for Scotland that is made all the worse, because we didn’t vote for it.’
But Mr Dowden dismissed the suggestion that a no deal split was now the PM’s Plan A.
Nicola Sturgeon claims Boris Johnson has GIVEN UP on trade talks with the EU
Nicola Sturgeon today said she fears Boris Johnson has given up on trade talks with the EU as she warned the chances of the UK striking an accord with Brussels are now ‘vanishingly small’.
The Scottish First Minister risked a furious row with Downing Street as she said she was ‘starting to worry not just that no deal is now the overwhelming likelihood’ but that Mr Johnson ‘is actually now almost planning for that’ outcome.
Ms Sturgeon said a chaotic departure from the bloc on December 31 at the end of the ‘standstill’ post-Brexit transition period ‘would be catastrophic’ but she insisted she is still ‘hopeful’ a compromise will be found.
In an interview with CNN, Ms Sturgeon questioned whether the PM is still committed to trying to find a deal with the EU.
‘I think the chances of a deal now are almost vanishingly small,’ she said.
‘They’re not non-existent, and I remain hopeful I guess, because no deal would be catastrophic.
‘But I’m starting to worry not just that no deal is now the overwhelming likelihood, but that Boris Johnson is actually now almost planning for that.’
Asked on Sky News if the UK is heading for a chaotic divorce on December 31, the Culture Secretary said: ‘No, not necessarily. The Prime Minister made it clear and we had a briefing from him and discussed it with Cabinet yesterday afternoon but it is a significant possibility that we could end up having a trade relationship based on an Australian-style WTO model.
‘But still I think there is a significant possibility we could get that deal and I think we should continue to work towards it.
‘We are pretty much 90 per cent of the way there but there are these two areas which are outstanding which no reasonable British prime minister could accept, namely we do need to control our own sovereign waters… and as we leave the EU we should be free to set our own rules and regulations and not face penalties if the EU changes its regulations and we don’t match them.’
Mr Dowden said the UK could not accept the EU’s demand to stick with its rules long into the future.
He said: ‘I desperately want us to get a deal, the Prime Minister desperately wants us to get a deal, but if we don’t get that deal it will be because we are not willing to accept a situation whereby we compromise our territorial waters or we compromise our ability to set our own rules and regulations.
‘I think that is a perfectly reasonable position.’
He added: ‘A trade deal in the style of Canada would be preferable and that is what we have been pushing for.
‘But if it comes to it it will be choppy but we can survive and indeed thrive over the longer run with a WTO style relationship.’
Mr Dowden also categorically ruled out the idea of extending the transition period beyond December 31 in order to provide more time for talks.
He told Times Radio ‘you’ve got to end the uncertainty and give people clarity about their future trading relationship’ and a ‘further extension is just kicking the can down the alley’.
The Culture Secretary also said businesses were always warned that a no deal was a possible outcome of the Brexit negotiations.
Speaking to BBC Breakfast, he said: ‘We have been saying to people for a long time, including businesses, there are two possible outcomes at the end of this transition period.
‘One – and I very much hope we manage to achieve this – is that we have a free trading agreement similar to that which Canada has, or if we don’t achieve that we would have an Australian-style WTO (World Trade Organisation) rules.
‘In both of those cases it would require changes because we wouldn’t be part of the single market, we wouldn’t be part of the customs union.’
Both sides are now under growing pressure to strike a compromise with Ireland leading calls for the UK and the EU not to walk away from a deal which is almost finished.
A dinner between Mr Johnson and EU chief Ursula von der Leyen on Wednesday evening in Brussels failed to result in a trade talks breakthrough
Ms von der Leyen yesterday published the EU’s no deal contingency plans in another sign that the Brexit crisis is deepening
Micheal Martin, the Irish prime minister, said in Brussels last night: ‘Dialogue is key and both teams have given themselves a deadline of this Sunday, and I think the key to unlocking this is to stand back and look at the overall picture here.
‘Ninety-seven per cent of this is agreed. Are we saying we are going to lose out on a deal because of 3 per cent? Notwithstanding the significance of the issues, the bottom line is a lot of work has been done, a lot of agreement has been reached, so one final effort is required.’
Meanwhile, Mr Johnson has been urged by his own MPs that a deal must be done to avoid the chaos of a no deal departure.
Andrew Mitchell, the Tory former chief whip, told The Guardian: ‘At this critical juncture, every sinew must be stretched to secure a deal. Not at any price: the country voted to leave and we are a proud independent nation.
‘But no one should be in any doubt of the economic consequences of proceeding without a deal on 1 January next year.’
Tobias Ellwood, the Tory chairman of the Defence Select Committee, echoed a similar sentiment as he told the newspaper: ‘The world is watching this. We are being marked for our international prestige, our statecraft and how we deploy it. And what we lose will be huge.’
Business groups are stepping up their efforts to urge the Government to do everything in its power to strike a trade deal.
A no deal split would see the UK and the EU trade on basic World Trade Organisation terms from January 1 which would see tariffs imposed on goods.
Many firms fear the tariffs will cause massive damage and could make their UK-based operations unsustainable.
Nissan has repeatedly said its Sunderland plant would not be viable in the event of no deal, with a source this week warning: ‘There is no Plan B.’
The car giant which directly employs around 6,000 people in the North East has already spent £400million on machines and preparing suppliers to build the new model of the popular Qashqai next year.
But 10 per cent trade tariffs on the models it builds – including the electric-powered Leaf – would make the plant unviable, bosses have warned.
Europe chairman Gianluca de Ficchy told a news conference at the plant in October 2019: ‘If a no-deal scenario means the sudden application of WTO tariffs, we know in that case our business model won’t be sustainable in the future.’
A Nissan source said: ‘We have been planning the whole time on the basis that there will be a deal. Look at the money we are putting into the new Qashqai – we are already in trial production for it. There’s no Plan B.’
However, the Bank of England has said it believes banks in the UK would be able to deal with a shock much worse than the economic damage done by Covid-19 and still continue to lend.
The Bank’s Financial Policy Committee said that most risks of a potential no deal Brexit to the UK’s financial stability have been mitigated. The financial system has had time to prepare for potential Brexit outcomes, it said.
‘Financial stability is not the same as market stability or the avoidance of any disruption to users of financial services,’ the committee said.
‘Some market volatility and disruption to financial services, particularly to EU-based clients, could arise.’
The committee added: ‘Reflecting the extensive preparations by UK authorities and the financial sector, the FPC … continues to judge that most risks to UK financial stability that could arise from disruption to the provision of cross-border financial services at the end of the transition period have been mitigated.’
Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey said that his officials have ‘a lot’ in their armoury if a no deal Brexit sparks a similar market shock to what happened in March during the first days of Covid-19.
Mr Bailey, who stressed he was not predicting such a market reaction, said: ‘We have a very substantial array of responses that we can take, and in any situation like that we will put them to work.’
Tidal wave of trucks at ports: Thousands of lorries queue through the night at Dover as the third day of chaos begins – with firms desperate to deliver goods before Christmas amid escalating No Deal fears
By Martin Robinson, Chief Reporter for MailOnline
Long snaking queues of lorries on the roads to Dover and the Channel Tunnel through the night and into today lays bare the disastrous crush at the nation’s ports as 2,000 more lorries than usual are crossing between Britain and Europe every day.
Emergency measures were imposed on roads across Kent – for the third day in a row – to try to manage a tidal wave of trucks now believed to be at 12,000 per day or more.
The log-jam at container ports means many hauliers are switching to using ferries and the Channel Tunnel to make their delivery targets. Around 2,000 extra trucks have been crossing through the Channel Tunnel every day, mostly into the UK, on top of the 10,000 already crossing in an average 24-hour period.
Supermarkets including Tesco have been accused of making things worse as they stockpile dry goods from abroad claiming they must prepare for Brexit as Covid-19 causes a crisis in container shipping.
But Culture Secretary Oliver Dowden today hit back at the gloomy predictions of No Deal chaos, saying Britain would ‘survive and thrive’ without a trade deal with Brussels.
‘Still, I think, there is a significant possibility that we could get that deal,’ Dowden told Sky News. ‘We’re pretty much 90% of the way there.’
‘There are these two areas which are outstanding and which no reasonable British prime minister could accept,’ Dowden said. ‘I would much prefer that we had a deal and the prime minister would much prefer a deal… but that deal cannot come at any price’.
Lorries queue for the Port of Dover along the A20 in Kent late into the night as the Dover TAP (Traffic Access Protocol) is implemented due to high volumes of freight traffic
Freight traffic builds at the entrance to the ferry terminal in Dover, Kent, as Britain’s ports are choked due to delays with container traffic
Authorities in Kent were forced to implement the so-called Dover TAP, short for Traffic Access Protocol, to control traffic levels and speed. It is designed to prevent port-bound traffic from affecting the local roads and the A20 through Dover town
Lines of lorries queued up on the approach to Dover Port yesterday as containers are switched to lorries to avoid Britain’s snarled up container ports such as Southampton and Felxistowe
Emergency measures were imposed on roads across Kent – for the third day in a row – to try to manage a tidal wave of trucks now believed to be at 12,000 per day or more
Lorries and other freight vehicles queue on the motorway on the way into the port of Dover today as Brexit looms
The gifts that might NOT arrive this Christmas: Deliveries of Barbies, Scalextric and Peppa Pig toys are hit by delays after Covid supply chain issues causes chaos at Britain’s ports
Britain is facing a Christmas gift shortage with chaos at ports meaning deliveries of popular products including Barbies, Micro-Scalextric and Peppa Pig toys may not arrive before December 25. Go-karts, scooters and Paw Patrol merchandise are among the other children’s presents held up at ports due to a global shipping crisis. Gifts such as Apple Airpod earphones and Sony PS5s are also increasingly hard to find as a result of supply chain problems from Covid-hit China, Vietnam and Japan
Britain is facing a
Go-karts, scooters and Paw Patrol merchandise are among the other children’s presents held up at ports due to a global shipping crisis, retailers said today.
Gary Grant, of The Entertainer, Britain’s largest independent toy retailer, said deliveries are now three weeks behind schedule with just 15 days until Christmas Day.
Meanwhile, Derek Crookes, of the Toy Retailers Association, said: ‘There is still stock on shelves but some lines may face shortages.
‘In previous Christmases some toys have run out because they are really, really popular but this year a lot of different lines are running low and might run out entirely before new stock arrives in January.’
A spike in imports due to the pandemic, coupled with the higher demand for imports around Christmas and stockpiling triggered by fears of a No Deal Brexit have led to bottlenecks. And industry leaders fear new custom checks in January – after the Brexit transition period ends – will deepen the crisis unless urgent action is taken.
Authorities in Kent were forced to implement the so-called Dover TAP, short for Traffic Access Protocol, to control traffic levels and speed. It is designed to prevent port-bound traffic from affecting the local roads and the A20 through Dover town.
Home appliances and building supplies are reportedly being held up by the congestion, while carmaker Honda has temporarily closed its Swindon plant due to difficulty getting parts.
The British Toy and Hobby Association said it is aware companies are suffering ‘serious issues’ retrieving their stock from ports in Felixstowe and Southampton.
It said: ‘Toy manufacturers are facing a drastic price increase on freight due to a shortage of capacity and containers, which has seen prices increase three-fold and as much as four-fold in some cases.
‘Vessels have been diverted to Rotterdam due to congestion at Felixstowe and will now miss the Christmas season.’
On Wednesday, the Department for Transport eased restrictions on drivers’ working hours in a bid to help clear the backlog at ports. However, Unite national officer for road haulage Adrian Jones said drivers are being forced to work longer hours to cope with the others’ mismanagement.
He said: ‘Relaxing driving hours increases fatigue, which increases the risk of accident for the drivers themselves and all other road users.’ Shadow minister for business and consumers Lucy Powell said: ‘Ministers have to wake up and listen to businesses… about the problems at ports and the risk of stock shortages.
‘This disruption couldn’t come at a worse time of year, with businesses reliant on keeping their shelves stocked to cash in on crucial Christmas trade after months of really difficult conditions.’
Britain’s biggest retailer is building up stores of long-life food such as pasta or tins and has warned of months of fresh food shortages in 2021 as
John Allan, the chairman of Tesco, believes the average shopping bill could go up five per cent and also claimed French cheeses like brie could be 40 per cent more expensive if there is no EU trade deal. But critics have said there is plenty of British brie to eat and the UK is already importing 20 per cent less cheese from abroad every year.
Mr Allan, who joined the supermarket last year, said: ‘Tesco is getting ready for the worst case which is a No Deal, trying to ensure as much as we can that we stockpile long life products either in our warehouses or with our suppliers. We are trying to minimise the risk of food being caught in what is probably going to be the most difficult place, which is the port of Dover.
‘We may have some shortages of fresh foods, particularly short life fresh foods. I think that will only be for a limited period, a month or two before we get back to normal. There might just be slightly restricted choice for a period of time’.
But Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab suggested Tesco is spreading panic among consumers about Britain leaving the EU and said: ‘Scare stories about cupboards running bare are nonsense’. He also denied claims made by Mr Allan that food prices could rise by five per cent across the board after January 1, adding: ‘We only only get 30 per cent of food from the EU. Stockpiling is a normal part of business’ before describing tariffs as ‘bumps along the road’.
Tesco’s gloomy predictions came amid chaos in the global shipping industry caused by the
Must-have gifts such as Apple Airpod earphones and Sony PS5s are increasingly hard to find due to supply chain problems from covid-hit China, Vietnam and Japan. While children’s bikes and toys such as Barbie dolls, Peppa Pig toys and Paw Patrol merchandise are also hit while certain Lego sets are also more difficult to find because of supply issues and increased demand.
Gary Grant, of The Entertainer, Britain’s largest independent toy retailer, saying deliveries are now three weeks behind schedule with just 15 days until Christmas Day. While Derek Crookes, of the Toy Retailers Association, said: ‘There is still stock on shelves but some lines may face shortages. In previous Christmases some toys have run out because they are really, really popular but this year a lot of different lines are running low and might run out entirely before new stock arrives in January.’
With Brexit looming, Tesco insists families could face shortages of some foods next month if new customs checks cause delays. But Mr Raab told LBC today that the delays at ports are clearly Covid-caused rather than Brexit-related.
One critic said: ‘Anyone else think that Tesco are being grossly irresponsible in announcing they are stockpiling? We’ll find empty supermarket shelves, when there’s absolutely no call for it’. Another said: ‘Well done Tesco advertising the fact there could be shortages. What do you think the public are going to do now? Very irresponsible of you to cause panic buying, but you know what your doing don’t you!’ One shopper said: ‘Tesco stockpiling for fear of shortages??….. Exactly what they told everyone not to do at the beginning of lockdown’.
Tesco boss John Allan says the supermarket is stockpiling food and fears shortages if Boris Johnson fails to get a deal with the EU
A shopper noticed these rationing labels on essential items such as nappies and pasta in the Tesco store in Ely, Cambridgeshire today, but the supermarket says it has been in place since late September. They said while restrictions are in place for baby wipes, nappies are not restricted and the sign was placed on the shelf in error by staff
Shoppers were unhappy with Tesco and accused them of ramping up fears of shortages that will spark panic buying again
Three key issues causing delays at British ports
Today’s problems at ports including Felixstowe, Southampton, London Gateway and Dover are being caused by a series of problems occurring at once which are not all unique to the UK.
A new lorry booking system has been causing disruption at Felixstowe in recent weeks, but trade body Logistics UK played down this issue today, saying the new arrangements were ‘bedding in’.
Industry insiders say there are three key issues behind the chaos:
COVID – shipping container shortage
The system for shipping goods around the world stopped working properly when economies shut down and reopened at different times as they dealt with Covid.
This led to shipping firms falling behind when it came to retrieving empty containers from European ports and taking them back to factories in Asia.
The container shortage is being exacerbated by a lack of staff across the global supply chain – including sailors, hauliers and warehouse workers – due to people falling ill or having to quarantine.
The problems caused by Covid have been compounded by a surge in demand caused by:
BREXIT – customs and stockpiling
If the UK leaves the EU with no deal, then at the end of the transition period tariffs will be applied to imported goods according to World Trade Organisation rules.
Companies are therefore stockpiling goods out of fear of having to pay tariffs, or because they are concerned that new customs procedures after Brexit will delay imports.
There is always a spike in demand for goods around Christmas, which is exacerbating problems.
Tesco has been accused of making a difficult situation even worse with shoppers saying they have now fired the gun on a new panic-buying spree last seen when the UK left the EU at the end of 2019 and at the start of lockdown in March.
Supermarkets have been left scrambling to ensure families can get hold of their favourite foods but Tesco, Britain’s largest grocer, has warned that some items could be unavailable for months.
The British Retail Consortium said in September that supermarkets would face an annual £3.1billion tariff bill for food and drink without a trade deal.
MailOnline has asked all the UK’s main supermarkets if they are stockpiling.
Fresh foods which can not be produced in the UK, such as parma ham, mozzarella and raspberries, are most at risk because they can not be stockpiled in warehouses.
Prices could also rise in a No Deal scenario as tariffs on imports are passed on to shoppers. Some items, such as cheese, could face import tariffs of up to 40pc.
Mr Allan added: ‘If we leave on a No Deal basis, there will be tariffs and those tariffs will inevitably lead to higher prices.’
Desperate retailers, supermarkets and department stores are still waiting for their Christmas stock as chaos at UK ports threatens major disruption to festive deliveries.
Customs delays in processing ships at Felixstowe and a string other ports risks a shortage of consumer products – including toys – with the result some may not arrive until January.
One specialist Christmas products supplier last night complained that vital festive stock was buried in a mountain of hundreds of containers.
There are also fears that food imports could be left to rot as a result of the disruption, while companies supplying supermarkets claim the delays are adding huge costs and threaten to push up prices.
And there are concerns that factories will be forced to follow the example of car maker Honda and suspend production because of a shortage of imported parts.
The problems appear to be the result of a perfect storm caused by a combination of the impact of Covid-19 and stockpiling ahead of the Brexit deadline of December 31.
Will the UK be forced to swap out fresh foods for homegrown alternatives in a No Deal Brexit?
If the UK crashes out of the EU later this month there is expected to be disruption at the Channel ports where tonnes of food is shipped into Britain every day.
The nation produces huge amounts of food and drink every year – enough to fuel the 66million people who live here – but around 30 per cent of what we eat is imported.
Many of people’s favourite food and drink comes from across the continent – with shortages likely in fruit like avocados and bananas, vegetables like broccoli and tomatoes, and even the grain needed to make pizza dough.
Instead expect to eat lots of eggs and drink gallons of milk, with peas and carrots on the side according to research by Bloomberg.
While the news is bad for millennial lovers of avocado toast – the changes could see Britons munching on home-sourced lobster over cod, knocked back with Scottish single malt whisky instead of EU wine.
Even tea and coffee could be slow to enter the country if borders are busy.
Most imports come via the EU, with meat from Ireland, especially beef and sausages, the biggest single imports. Next is French wine, followed by Danish pork and then potatoes and vegetables from Holland and Belgium.
Today Foreign Secretary said the there would not be food shortages or price hikes.
Industry leaders fear the introduction of new Customs checks in the new year will fuel the crisis without urgent action to tackle the bottlenecks.
Some retailers say that as few as one in five shipments due in September and October have arrived, which has hit supplies of scooters, Barbie dolls and other toys before Christmas.
High street chains are reporting shortages of white goods such as washing machines and fridges, while building merchants are running out of supplies, such as power tools, screws, timber and roof tiles.
At the same time, shipping companies are imposing massive ‘congestion charges’, in some cases running to hundreds of thousands of pounds, on British importers because of the delays. This is to cover the dead time ships spend in ports rather than getting back out to sea.
Lars Mikael Jensen, from ocean freight line Maersk, said the delays at UK ports were being driven by global problems.
He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘There are essentially two things. One is that we are, globally, seeing a big increase in shipments, particularly out of Asia.
‘This is both due to restocking by a lot of [western] companies as well as a backlog from slowdowns in cargo volumes or movements of cargo in the second quarter.
‘So there is more cargo than usual in the system.
‘And the second thing is that a lot of ports have been hit by coronavirus, so that has a impact of the number of workers.
‘We also see that it is taking longer for containers to be trucked out of the terminal by hauliers.’
Mr Jensen believes the issue will last until next year.
‘We have seen the crunch from Asia for a couple of months now and we see that moving in 2021,’ he said.
‘But things are easing – it depends a lot on how long the surge in volumes last.
‘I’m pretty sure that as the Covid vaccine is distributed then we will see less disruption from truckers and port workers being affected by the coronavirus so that in itself will help.’
Mr Jensen said a worldwide shortage of shipping containers was behind a lot of the delays.
‘Trade imbalances mean a lot of containers in Europe go back to Asia,’ he said.
Covid-19 has caused global chaos with containers in the wrong places or taking longer to load and unload. It is hitting many supply chains into the UK, especially from Asia
This glotech graphic show the main imports from Europe into the UK, with beef from Ireland and wine from France the biggest ticket items
‘We are shipping every empty container we have in Europe [back to Asia] as fast that we can.
‘But is taking a bit longer for the importers to return the containers empty.
British scooter firm can’t get containers into the UK’s ports
Ian Batten, 42, from Brighton, is the owner of Storm Buggies, which sells motorised children’s quad bikes and scooters.
The company ships all its good from China for sale to retail customers and wholesale clients.
He told MailOnline: ‘Typically sea freight takes about a month, but we are seeing average delays of two to three weeks on top of that, but a lot is still up in the air.
‘Some of these orders were placed as early as May. Everything thing was supposed to be here by mid-October, or mid-November latest.
‘As it stands we hope to get the majority of the goods in before Christmas but some people will be disappointed.
‘Nearly all of our customers have been really understanding – we’ve been quite touched by that.’
Mr Batten says shipments that were meant to be arriving at Southampton and Felixstowe have both been disrupted.
‘We’ve got two 40ft containers that tried to get into Felixstowe but it couldn’t get in and it was diverted,’ he said.
‘The container is currently stuck in Zeebrugge in Belgium. That’s about 150 vehicles, all high-end goods, all sold for Christmas.
‘The Southampton one was meant to go in last week, it had already been delayed getting there.’
Mr Batten said that alongside issues at ports there were also problems finding enough hauliers to pick the goods up and bring them to warehouses.
‘Maybe because their warehouses are full, maybe because of other reasons.
‘So a lot of our containers today are stuck in Europe or North America with inboard cargo waiting to be emptied.’
Honda is the biggest manufacturer to warn of serious disruption from the crisis, however there are fears others could soon follow suit.
Gary Grant is founder of the Entertainer, Britain’s biggest independent toy retailer with more than 170 stores.
The Amersham-based chain is facing delays importing stock from China and the Far East that will cause some popular products to go out of stock before Christmas.
‘We’ve had problems now for a month with our containers being delayed for anything between a week and ten days,’ he told MailOnline.
‘Up until now the delays hasn’t affected what you see in shops.
‘But now if containers that are meant to come in this week or next week are delayed then we are going to start seeing toy shortages before Christmas.
‘Our shops will never be out of toys, but when people want specific items for Christmas that’s going to be the challenge. Particularly if they leave their toy buying later.’
Mr Grant said the store was experiencing particular problems with Barbies, as well as craft and puzzle products that had sold prolifically over lockdown so already had low stock levels.
‘Our range of Barbies is much narrower because it comes from China by container and some of those deliveries have been delayed,’ he said.
‘Other ranges that have been in high demand all year, like games, puzzles and craft, are also affected.
‘This is because we already had low stock due to demand over lockdown so any delays with containers arriving means it cannot be replenished.’
Mr Grant said the store was having problems obtaining Lego and Baby Yodas but that was due to a surge in demand rather than issues at container ports.
He added that the Entertainer only sold toys online and in store that were in stock so customers would always receive any orders they made.
Boldcube Scooters is waiting on four containers carrying 8,000 scooters already ordered as gifts.
A spokesman said: ‘As you can imagine this is a super frustrating experience for us and our customers, especially with this year being a COVID Christmas we know its more important than ever to have a stressfree Christmas, with Santa’s presents under the tree to enjoy the days of celebration as families reunite.
‘We’ve done everything we can as a growing business to ensure all of our stock is ordered far far in advance so we can provide a seamless experience to buyers. And keep shipping costs as low as possible to keep Christmas affordable’.
Director of Food & Sustainability at the British Retail Consortium (BRC), Andrew Opie, said: ‘The UK is currently facing significant challenges shipping in many goods from countries around the world, particularly those from the Far East such as China. These problems have been compounded by the increase in demand from retailers ahead of both Christmas and Brexit, exacerbated by the ongoing pandemic and the large shipments of PPE currently being brought into UK ports.
‘Retailers now face higher costs than ever before, with some seeing 25per cent week-on-week rises for shipping.
‘While these rates continue to rise, and the disruption at ports and in shipping continues, retailers face significant challenges with the import of some items ahead of Christmas.
‘Retailers are working overtime to rearrange and redirect incoming freight in order to ensure customers can get the items they need, but some delays appear inevitable.’ High street stores have asked Transport Secretary Grant Shapps to ‘take all action possible to clear the logjam’.
A new lorry booking system has been causing disruption at Felixstowe (pictured) in recent weeks, but trade body Logistics UK played down this issue today, saying the new arrangements were ‘bedding in’
Dover overwhelmingly handles goods from Europe, while Southampton, Felixstowe and London Gateway mainly imports from Asia. Pictured are queues at Dover today (pictured)
Mr Opie said: ‘The last thing the public needs is disruption at the ports continuing into the new year at a time when Brexit will already put the Channel crossings under much greater pressure.’ The Food & Drink Federation said huge quantities of ambient food – sold in packets, jars and cans – are sitting in containers stranded at docks.
How ports chaos is hitting imports of goods from Brompton bikes to home heaters and LED lights
A range of companies are now struggling to import goods due to the chaos at British ports.
Brompton Bikes is struggling to keep up with huge demand for its bikes because of delays to imported components caused by a port being ‘clogged up’.
The company said 1.5 million components from Asia are ‘stuck on the water’, waiting to be offloaded at Felixstowe in Suffolk.
Components were stockpiled earlier this year, but they are now depleted and the firm said it is now operating ‘pretty much hand-to-mouth.’
Lorne Vary, chief financial and business development officer, said: ‘Demand for our bikes is off the scale, but we are unable to fulfil it simply because our supply chain is under so much pressure.
‘We have had container deliveries cancelled – and this is all before Brexit.’
Adam Russell, who imports home appliances for London-based One Retail Group, warned that is is now ‘near impossible’ to get goods out of China because fewer vessels than normal are sailing to the UK.
‘I’ve always been able to find a way to keep the business moving, but if I can’t find a way to move the goods into the country, then that’s when the business stops,’ he told
‘We used to pay $2,000 (£1,500) to ship a 40-ft container to the UK, now we’re paying at least $8,000 up to $10,000 (£7,500).
‘Ultimately that means we’re going to have to stop importing or we’re going to have to pass that on to the consumer.’
Ian Enwin, from Ledlites Ltd in Welwyn Garden City, is facing delays importing LED lights from China.
‘It’s an absolute nightmare and very frustrating,’ he told MailOnline. ‘Our shipping costs have gone up from $1,000 (£750) a container to $5,000 (£3,700).
‘Vessels have been unable to dock and we are having products diverted to Europe, where ports are not as affected. I’ve never seen anything like it – and Brexit hasn’t even happened yet.’
Mansfield-based Hanson stone imports paving slabs from India but has been badly hit by import delays.
‘We’re a start-up company, we’ve only been running a year, we’ve had Covid to contend with, and now we’ve got this,’ said Ben Hanson, the company’s business manager.
Head of International Trade at the FDF, Dominic Goudie (correct) said: ‘Manufacturers are extremely concerned about the delays we are witnessing.
‘Our members are incurring costs totalling tens of thousands of pounds, and in some cases hundreds of thousands. In some cases it is directly impacting on the ability of businesses to build up stockpiles of products and ingredients ahead of the end of the (Brexit) transition period.’ The chairman of Tesco, Britain’s largest supermarket, warned the problems were happening at the ‘worst possible time’.
John Allan said: ‘We can’t rule out the possibility that if there is dislocation at the ports of entry to the UK there will be some shortages of some items of fresh food, at least for a short time.
‘The nation’s supply chain for food will continue but there may be some things we have to learn to live without for a few weeks, possibly a few months..’ Piers Croke, the marketing chief at Christmas products company Gisela Graham, complained: ‘Right now, hundreds of desperate retailers have yet to receive their Christmas stock.
‘The reason? A mountain of containers awaiting clearance by Customs at the Port, with further containers arriving by the hundred daily.’ Alan Joseph, of The Cotswold Company, said his firm had not received some furniture stock. ‘It is very muddled. The congestion to the UK has reached a crescendo in the last couple of weeks,’ he said.
Adam Russell, who imports home appliances such as heaters and air conditioners, said the situation is ‘near impossible’.
Felixstowe handles some 40per cent of the UK’s container traffic. It is now feared that chaos could spread to smaller container ports such as Southampton, which was also disrupted last week due to bad weather, and London Gateway.
There are backlogs at the Channel Tunnel too with around 2,000 extra trucks are crossing daily through the tunnel, mostly in the direction of the UK. In Dover, queues stretched for miles up the M20 earlier this week, as traffic management systems were put in place to alleviate pressure on local car journeys.
Asked about the chaos in the House of Commons yesterday (Wed), Michael Gove, insisted these were part of a global problem, rather than being specific to Britain.
Two months ago, the former Transport Secretary, Chris Grayling, was hired to advise Felixstowe’s parent company, Hutchison Ports Europe, on an annual salary of £100,000 a year for ‘around seven hours’ of work per week.
The problems stem from the fact global shipping schedules were disrupted during the early stages of the pandemic, with different economies reopening at different times. Thousands of containers are sitting at UK and European ports, which should have been processed, emptied and sent back to Asia to bring in more goods.
At the same time, British manufacturers have been trying to bring in extra parts and products as part of a stockpiling effort to combat border delays expected as a result of Brexit.
In a letter to Transport Secretary, the leaders of organisations such as the UK Major Ports Group, the UK Chamber of Shipping and Logistics UK wrote: ‘High volumes remain and could persist for some months, running into the period of the end of the EU transition, therefore challenges remain. The current situation has arisen in part from imbalances that accumulated over months. Reversing this accumulation is not an overnight task.’ The letter called on the Government not to be ‘complacent’, and called for it to provide ‘sensible flexibilities and easements’ around the movement of containers at ports and road haulage.
Tim Morris, boss of the Major Ports Group, said: ‘What the UK is experiencing is a global phenomenon. There is disruption in global supply chains the world over. We are reaping the whirlwind of an imbalance which has grown over some time.’ The Department for Transport said partners across the Government are working closely with the freight industry to resolve challenges in the global container system.
Boris Johnson sits in a car after arriving from Brussels at RAF Northolt near London in the early hours of this morning
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson prior to a meeting at EU headquarters in Brussels
Britain is teetering on the brink of no deal Brexit today after Boris Johnson and Ursula von der Leyen set a final deadline of Sunday for a breakthrough and warned that ‘very large’ gaps remain.
The PM and the EU chief took stock of the dire situation for more than three hours as they ate steamed turbot and scallops – the source of many skirmishes between UK and French fishing boats – at the commission’s HQ in Brussels last night.
But the pair failed to find a way through the impasse that has left trade talks on the verge of collapse, a year after Britain formally left the bloc.
Instead they are ordering Michel Barnier and Lord Frost to re-engage, on the understanding that unless a resolution has emerged within four days the plug will be pulled. However, it is not clear if they have been given any new political instructions – thought to be critical to shift the deadlock.
Government sources confirmed that Lord Frost and Mr Barnier will resume post-Brexit trade talks in Brussels today in a bid to resolve the outstanding issues.
In a grim assessment, a No10 source said Mr Johnson did not want to leave ‘any route to a possible deal untested’. ‘The PM and Ursula von der Leyen had a frank discussion about the significant obstacles which remain in the negotiations,’ the source said.
‘Very large gaps remain between the two sides and it is still unclear whether these can be bridged. The PM and Ms von der Leyen agreed to further discussions over the next few days between their negotiating teams.
‘The PM does not want to leave any route to a possible deal untested. The PM and Ms von der Leyen agreed that by Sunday a firm decision should be taken about the future of the talks.’
Ms von der Leyen said in a statement: ‘We had a lively and interesting discussion on the state of play on outstanding issues. We understand each other’s positions.
‘They remain far apart. The teams should immediately reconvene to try to resolve these issues. We will come to a decision by the end of the weekend.’
Mr Barnier and Lord Frost have wrangled unsuccessfully for months over access to UK waters, level playing field rules and how to enforce the terms, and finally admitted earlier this week that they could not make any more progress.
Mr Johnson landed in RAF Northolt near London from Brussels shortly after midnight. He had set the tone for the showdown yesterday by telling MPs no prime minister could accept the demands the EU is making, which include obeying rules it makes in the future, as well as those currently in place.
In a bullishly optimistic performance at PMQs, Mr Johnson said the UK would ‘prosper mightily’ with or without an agreement – even thought the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has suggested the collapse of talks would knock two percent off GDP next year.
Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has warned that the long-term damage from falling back on World Trade Organisation terms would be worse than the economic hit from coronavirus.
Tory MPs urged Mr Johnson to stick to his guns, insisting his pledge to ‘take back control’ and put sovereignty first must not be sacrificed to get a deal. But Sir Keir Starmer accused the PM of bungling the negotiations, swiping: ‘Secure the deal, Prime Minister. You promised it.’
Cabinet minister Robert Jenrick waded into the crisis last night, telling ITV’s Peston that while there had been ‘good discussion’ between the PM and Ms von der Leyen, there are still ‘very significant areas of disagreement’ and that had been ‘no clear movement in the right direction’.
The Housing Secretary said: ‘It sounds as if, from the conversations I’ve had with the Prime Minister’s team tonight, that there are still very significant areas of disagreement.
‘So I don’t want to give false hope, but he did conclude with Ursula von der Leyen that we should get the teams back together in the coming days and they will work hard to see if there is a way forward until Sunday.’
Asked if the UK was closer to a deal, he said: ‘I think there was a good discussion, but there was no clear movement in the right direction.’