In the 2016 presidential election Trump narrowly lost the popular vote by about two points, but was able to secure the Electoral College vote.
But a popular vote loss of seven points would make the chances of winning the Electoral College again extremely unlikely.
The new numbers reveal Trump has lost major ground with key voter groups including voters who do not hold a college degree and men, according to the
President Donald Trump is trailing behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden by seven percentage points according to the latest election poll
Biden is currently leading among voters with a college degrees by 24 percentage points. Trump in the 2016 election won support among voters without college degrees by eight percentage points, but that margin has shrunk in this election to just three percentage points, meaning he’s losing his support in that demographic
Similarly in the 2016 election Trump depended heavily on male voters and did not perform so well among women. He won male voters’ support by about 12 percentage points but that number has shrunk to eight percentage points in this election
One of Trump’s biggest losses in support is among blue-collar workers without a college degree.
In 2016 he won voters without a degree by eight points and lost college graduates by about nine points, profiting slightly from the education gap.
However, this week’s poll finds him leading among voters without a degree by only three percentage points, and losing voters with a degree by 24 percentage points.
Similarly in the 2016 election Trump depended heavily on male voters and did not perform so well among women. He won male voters’ support by about 12 percentage points in 2016 and lost women by the same amount.
According to the new poll his support among male voters has sunk to eight points and his deficit with female voters has risen to 21 points.
Biden has seen enormous support from college-degree voters. Hillary Clinton only won college-degree holding voters by nine percentage points and Biden has support by 24 percentage points.
He’s also raked in support from female voters. Clinton led in the 2016 election with support from female voters by 12 percentage points. So far in this election Biden has support from female voters by 21 percentage points.
Biden currently has support from college-degree voters and female voters, outweighing numbers Hillary Clinton had in the 2016 election
Another poll found that two thirds of Americans believe Trump has increased racial tensions in the US.
Overall 67 percent of voters polled said Trump mostly increased racial tensions – including 92 percent of Democrats, 73 of Independents, and 88 percent of African Americans and 63 percent of whites, according to a new
Meanwhile just 18 percent said he decreased tensions.
Almost six in 10 Republicans believe he either increased tensions at 29 percent or are not sure at 30 percent.
‘It’s very unusual to see Republicans break when the name Trump is presented, but that is the case here,’ Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, which conducted the poll said.