Conservative majority put in doubt by new poll showing slight lead over Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour 

A Conservative majority in the general election has been put in doubt after new polling suggested Boris Johnson only holds a ‘slight lead’ over Labour.

The Tories are believed to only be eight points ahead of Jeremy Corbyn with just under six weeks to go, according to new data.

The survey, conducted by ORB International, puts the Tories on 36 per cent, with 28 for Labour, 14 per cent for the Liberal Democrats and Nigel Farage‘s Brexit Party on 12 per cent.

The pollster’s similar survey at six weeks out from election day in 2017 had Theresa May‘s Conservatives 11 points ahead Labour, however they were on 42 per cent and 31 per cent respectively.

A Conservative majority in the general election has been put in doubt after new polling suggested Boris Johnson only holds a 'slight lead' over Labour

A Conservative majority in the general election has been put in doubt after new polling suggested Boris Johnson only holds a 'slight lead' over Labour

A Conservative majority in the general election has been put in doubt after new polling suggested Boris Johnson only holds a ‘slight lead’ over Labour

The Tories are believed to only be eight points ahead of Jeremy Corbyn with just under six weeks to go, according to new data

The Tories are believed to only be eight points ahead of Jeremy Corbyn with just under six weeks to go, according to new data

The Tories are believed to only be eight points ahead of Jeremy Corbyn with just under six weeks to go, according to new data

Undertaken on Wednesday and Thursday for the Sunday Telegraph, the data will spark fears in Downing Street that Mr Johnson will need to significantly increase his lead to secure an outright majority on December 12. 

Political scientist Sir John Curtice this week warned that Britain could be on course for another hung parliament, in what could be the most unpredictable election of modern times.

‘I will make a prediction. There are going to be a record number of non-Conservative and non-Labour MPs as a result of this election. That makes it difficult for the Tories and Labour to win an overall majority,’ said Professor Curtice.

He also added today that Mr Johnson is currently behind on vote share compared to his predecessor Mrs May at the 2017 election.

Johnny Heald, from ORB International, said: ‘Boris Johnson has a lead over Jeremy Corbyn but he will need to increase this over the next six week if he wants a comfortable majority in the Commons.’

‘Look out also for those who voted remain in 2016. At the moment they are 2:1 voting labour over the Lib Dems. 

‘As we know from 2017 when one of the main stories of the campaign was Labour’s surge half way through, lots will change between now and December 12th.’

The data suggested among 25 to 34-year-olds, 44 per cent said they would vote Labour, compared to 18 per cent Conservative.

However, according to an Opinium/Observer poll published today, the Conservatives hold a twice as large 16-point lead over Labour.

The new data claims the Tories are up two points up on 42 per cent compared with a week ago, with Labour on 26 per cent, which is also up two points.

Such figures would give the Conservatives a comfortable overall majority in Parliament to help push through his renegotiated Brexit deal.

Opinium/Observer poll 

Conservative – 42% (16-point lead)

Labour – 26%

Lberal Democrats – 16% 

Brexit Party – 9%

Green Party – 2%

                         (Completed 30 Oct–1 Nov)

Opinium have the Liberal democrats up on 16 per cent and the Brexit down on nine per cent compared to ORB.

66 per cent of Leave voters are believed to be planning to vote Conservative, with only 17 per cent saying they will vote for Nigel Farage’s Brexit party. 

The Prime Minister yesterday rejected an offer of an electoral pact with Mr Farage, which Presidential Donald Trump endorsed during a surprise phone-in to Mr Farage’s LBC radio show.

Mr Johnson warning that voting for the Brexit Party in more marginal constituencies would only benefits Jeremy Corbyn’s attempts to enter Number 10.

Mr Farage said the Prime Minister had until November 14 to agree to the pact, otherwise he would field candidates in ‘every constituency’.

Opinium found that 52 per cent of voters are expecting the Conservatives to secure the most seats, but 30 per cent expect another hung parliament compared to 22 per cent who predict a majority government. 

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